Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 55.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Norris
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Norris
Jankowski
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
3
Norris
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Norris
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
51.5% (3,462)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
53.7% (95)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
42.8% (528)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Norris shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
Norris
Jankowski
Home
53.1% (1,856)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Norris
Jankowski
P1
55.6%
50.0%
P2
51.4%
51.2%
P3
50.1%
50.2%
OT
40.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |