Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Jankowski 48.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 67.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 64.6%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Norris
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Norris
Jankowski
Last 8: Norris 4-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Norris
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Norris
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
51.6% (126)
-0.4%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
50.0% (2)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
39.2% (51)
-0.4%
On power play, Norris has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Jankowski is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Norris
Jankowski
Home
55.6% (487)
45.3% (64)
Away
47.0% (549)
49.6% (115)
By Period
Norris
Jankowski
P1
54.8%
53.7%
P2
51.3%
45.8%
P3
48.0%
43.4%
Final 5 min
54.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |