Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Beniers 47.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 68.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 68.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 70.1%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Norris
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Norris
Beniers
Last 6: Norris 4-2 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Norris
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
47.3% (945)
+4.9%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
51.7% (145)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
23.8% (21)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Norris
Beniers
Home
50.7% (351)
49.6% (565)
Away
54.0% (278)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Norris
Beniers
P1
55.6%
48.0%
P2
49.3%
49.0%
P3
52.1%
46.5%
OT
42.9%
23.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:12 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |