Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Rasmussen 49.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 73.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 73.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 76.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Norris
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Norris
Rasmussen
Last 5: Norris 4-1 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Rasmussen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Norris
Rasmussen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Rasmussen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
48.1% (108)
+4.1%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
60.0% (5)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
42.9% (7)
+3.8%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Rasmussen is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Norris
Rasmussen
Home
50.7% (351)
50.8% (63)
Away
54.0% (278)
45.6% (57)
By Period
Norris
Rasmussen
P1
55.6%
48.8%
P2
49.3%
48.9%
P3
52.1%
45.5%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |