Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Sgarbossa 47.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 80.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 58.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 57.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Norris
Sgarbossa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Norris
Sgarbossa
Last 5: Norris 3-2 Sgarbossa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Sgarbossa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
0
1
Norris
Sgarbossa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Sgarbossa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Sgarbossa
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
44.6% (121)
+7.6%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
66.7% (3)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
100.0% (2)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Sgarbossa has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sgarbossa shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Sgarbossa is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Norris
Sgarbossa
Home
50.7% (351)
41.1% (56)
Away
54.0% (278)
50.0% (70)
By Period
Norris
Sgarbossa
P1
55.6%
38.5%
P2
49.3%
47.7%
P3
52.1%
48.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Josh Norris |