Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.2% vs Bonino 50.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Norris
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Norris
Bonino
Last 6: Norris 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Norris
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Norris
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (2,904)
50.6% (8,315)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.8% (364)
54.1% (972)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
44.6% (1,693)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,264).
Norris shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Norris
Bonino
Home
53.2% (1,778)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
51.3% (1,730)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Norris
Bonino
P1
55.6%
50.6%
P2
51.8%
48.5%
P3
50.0%
51.1%
OT
41.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |