Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Bonino 51.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 66.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Norris
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Norris
Bonino
Last 5: Norris 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Norris
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Norris
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
51.7% (777)
-0.5%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
60.0% (50)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
43.9% (98)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Norris
Bonino
Home
55.6% (487)
48.2% (461)
Away
47.0% (549)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Norris
Bonino
P1
54.8%
54.1%
P2
51.3%
49.7%
P3
48.0%
50.7%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |