Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Hischier 55.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 63.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 51.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Norris
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Norris
Hischier
Last 10: Norris 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
2
Norris
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Norris
Hischier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
55.8% (1,228)
-2.2%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
62.1% (282)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
47.6% (267)
+5.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Norris
Hischier
Home
53.6% (373)
56.5% (867)
Away
54.1% (394)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Norris
Hischier
P1
61.8%
57.9%
P2
51.7%
55.9%
P3
49.8%
52.7%
OT
27.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |