Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Acciari 51.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 86.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.1%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Norris
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Norris
Acciari
Last 6: Norris 3-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
0
Norris
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Norris
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
53.0% (285)
-3.0%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
31.3% (16)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.8% (183)
-7.9%
On power play, Norris has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Norris shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Norris
Acciari
Home
47.2% (193)
53.2% (267)
Away
51.6% (246)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Norris
Acciari
P1
53.8%
53.1%
P2
48.2%
51.1%
P3
47.9%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |