Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Patrick 51.0% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.6%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Norris
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
50.6% (1,978)
+1.9%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
57.5% (120)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
57.7% (26)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Norris shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Norris
Patrick
Home
53.1% (1,856)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Norris
Patrick
P1
55.6%
52.9%
P2
51.4%
49.1%
P3
50.1%
51.3%
OT
40.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%