Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Norris wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 83.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 80.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 80.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Norris
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Norris
Bergeron
Last 10: Norris 1-9 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
8
Norris
Bergeron
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
5
Norris
Bergeron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
3
1
Norris
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
63.8% (1,102)
-12.6%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
65.3% (288)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
47.6% (210)
-8.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Norris shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Norris
Bergeron
Home
55.6% (487)
62.5% (882)
Away
47.0% (549)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Norris
Bergeron
P1
54.8%
62.5%
P2
51.3%
62.7%
P3
48.0%
60.6%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |