Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Crosby 56.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 68.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 74.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 54.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Norris
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Norris
Crosby
Last 10: Norris 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
Norris
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
5
0
Norris
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
5
Norris
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
56.2% (1,451)
-2.6%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
61.4% (293)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
55.3% (38)
-2.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Norris
Crosby
Home
53.6% (373)
59.1% (939)
Away
54.1% (394)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Norris
Crosby
P1
61.8%
54.9%
P2
51.7%
60.8%
P3
49.8%
55.4%
OT
27.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |