Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 73.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 76.0%
Neutral zone
Norris 73.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Norris
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Norris
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Norris
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
57.8% (626)
-7.8%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
63.6% (151)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
44.0% (141)
-1.1%
On power play, Trocheck has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Norris shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Norris
Trocheck
Home
47.2% (193)
54.4% (390)
Away
51.6% (246)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Norris
Trocheck
P1
53.8%
56.4%
P2
48.2%
58.7%
P3
47.9%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |