Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Norris wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 51.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 70.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 60.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Norris
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Norris
Trocheck
Last 9: Norris 4-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
3
Norris
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Norris
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
59.6% (1,032)
-6.0%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
62.1% (253)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
55.4% (249)
-2.3%
On power play, Trocheck has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Norris shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Norris
Trocheck
Home
53.6% (373)
61.7% (786)
Away
54.1% (394)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Norris
Trocheck
P1
61.8%
61.7%
P2
51.7%
58.8%
P3
49.8%
57.6%
OT
27.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Josh Norris |