Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 86.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 67.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Norris
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Norris
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
58.6% (597)
-5.0%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
57.9% (57)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
51.9% (52)
+1.2%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Norris
Karlsson
Home
53.6% (373)
59.6% (344)
Away
54.1% (394)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Norris
Karlsson
P1
61.8%
53.1%
P2
51.7%
62.1%
P3
49.8%
60.1%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Josh Norris |