Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.5%). Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 50.9% vs Backlund 50.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.7%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 57.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Lammikko
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lammikko
Backlund
Last 6: Lammikko 2-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Lammikko
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Lammikko
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (616)
51.5% (983)
+0.8%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
49.4% (87)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
45.3% (159)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lammikko is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Lammikko shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Lammikko
Backlund
Home
49.2% (364)
51.6% (653)
Away
53.0% (330)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Lammikko
Backlund
P1
51.1%
50.0%
P2
52.3%
49.8%
P3
49.8%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |