Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 47.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lammikko 82.8%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 82.8%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 81.4%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Lammikko
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Lammikko
O'Reilly
Last 9: Lammikko 2-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lammikko
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lammikko
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Lammikko
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,252)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.6%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
58.8% (3,445)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (135)
51.4% (2,811)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lammikko is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Lammikko shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Lammikko
O'Reilly
Home
48.0% (690)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
47.5% (724)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Lammikko
O'Reilly
P1
48.7%
55.6%
P2
47.6%
57.0%
P3
46.9%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |