Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Jokinen 54.6% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 64.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 88.7%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 82.7%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Stepan
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stepan
Jokinen
Last 7: Stepan 5-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Jokinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
54.9% (661)
-10.0%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
55.6% (99)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
60.0% (65)
-30.2%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Jokinen is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jokinen
Home
45.6% (463)
58.0% (414)
Away
43.3% (404)
52.4% (418)
By Period
Stepan
Jokinen
P1
50.2%
52.8%
P2
39.4%
53.9%
P3
45.7%
57.5%
OT
38.9%
84.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |