Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.6% vs Foligno 45.0% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 64.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 66.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 64.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Jokinen
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jokinen
Foligno
Last 5: Jokinen 1-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Jokinen
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Jokinen
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (661)
38.7% (119)
+16.2%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
47.8% (23)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (65)
66.7% (6)
-6.7%
On even strength, Jokinen has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jokinen is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Jokinen shoots left. Foligno is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Foligno
Home
58.0% (414)
39.2% (79)
Away
52.4% (418)
44.3% (70)
By Period
Jokinen
Foligno
P1
52.8%
44.0%
P2
53.9%
38.5%
P3
57.5%
42.6%
Final 5 min
58.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |