Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Foligno 48.6% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 60.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 65.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 68.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Jokinen
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Jokinen
Foligno
Last 6: Jokinen 1-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Jokinen
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Jokinen
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
48.3% (2,810)
+5.5%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
52.3% (730)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
44.0% (455)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Jokinen shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Foligno
Home
57.8% (1,369)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Jokinen
Foligno
P1
53.4%
47.6%
P2
54.4%
50.4%
P3
53.7%
48.3%
OT
66.1%
29.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:15 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |