Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Jokinen wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Connolly 47.3% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 81.3%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 74.6%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 83.7%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Jokinen
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Jokinen
Connolly
Last 10: Jokinen 8-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
7
6
Jokinen
Connolly
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Jokinen
Connolly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
5
0
Jokinen
Connolly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
47.4% (1,307)
+6.4%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
50.2% (251)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
41.9% (186)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Jokinen is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (991).
Jokinen shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Connolly
Home
57.8% (1,369)
48.5% (870)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Jokinen
Connolly
P1
53.4%
47.4%
P2
54.4%
47.7%
P3
53.7%
47.0%
OT
66.1%
37.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |