Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Johnson 49.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 54.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 55.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Jokinen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Jokinen
Johnson
Last 10: Jokinen 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jokinen
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
2
Jokinen
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Jokinen
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
54.6% (885)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
42.3% (707)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Jokinen is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (991).
Jokinen shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Johnson
Home
57.8% (1,369)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Jokinen
Johnson
P1
53.4%
50.1%
P2
54.4%
50.6%
P3
53.7%
48.4%
OT
66.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |