Justin Abdelkader vs Matt Duchene
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Abdelkader wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 52.3% vs Duchene 50.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 67.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Abdelkader
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Abdelkader
Duchene
Last 5: Abdelkader 1-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Abdelkader
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Abdelkader
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (373)
50.5% (1,070)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
49.3% (136)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
50.0% (20)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Abdelkader has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Abdelkader is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Abdelkader shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Duchene
Home
56.9% (204)
49.8% (633)
Away
49.1% (226)
51.1% (613)
By Period
Abdelkader
Duchene
P1
48.4%
51.0%
P2
52.2%
51.5%
P3
59.5%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
58.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |