Justin Abdelkader vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 51.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 59.7%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 59.3%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 61.1%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Abdelkader
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Abdelkader
Duchene
Last 10: Abdelkader 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Abdelkader
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Abdelkader
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Abdelkader
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,126)
53.9% (10,396)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
56.9% (1,665)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (174)
49.1% (468)
+2.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Abdelkader is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (917).
Abdelkader shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Duchene
Home
54.5% (642)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
48.7% (735)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Abdelkader
Duchene
P1
49.5%
54.5%
P2
51.9%
54.5%
P3
53.3%
53.4%
OT
38.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |