Justin Abdelkader vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.5%). Look for Abdelkader on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 51.3% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 51.9%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 55.0%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 57.5%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Abdelkader
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Abdelkader
Backstrom
Last 5: Abdelkader 4-1 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Abdelkader
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
3
0
Abdelkader
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,126)
50.4% (11,581)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
52.3% (1,895)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (174)
47.0% (889)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Abdelkader has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Abdelkader is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (917).
Abdelkader shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Backstrom
Home
54.5% (642)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
48.7% (735)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Abdelkader
Backstrom
P1
49.5%
50.1%
P2
51.9%
49.7%
P3
53.3%
51.6%
OT
38.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |