Justin Abdelkader vs Ryan O'Reilly
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Abdelkader wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 52.3% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 71.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 67.1%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 51.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
Last 6: Abdelkader 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
1
0
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
2
0
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (373)
53.4% (770)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
55.6% (54)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
44.4% (196)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Abdelkader has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Abdelkader is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Abdelkader shoots left. O'Reilly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
Home
56.9% (204)
53.5% (533)
Away
49.1% (226)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
P1
48.4%
50.8%
P2
52.2%
52.4%
P3
59.5%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |