Justin Abdelkader vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 51.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 62.4%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 55.8%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 60.5%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
Last 10: Abdelkader 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
4
2
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
7
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
3
2
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,126)
56.2% (15,260)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
58.8% (3,445)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (174)
51.4% (2,811)
+0.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Abdelkader is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (917).
Abdelkader shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
Home
54.5% (642)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
48.7% (735)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Abdelkader
O'Reilly
P1
49.5%
55.6%
P2
51.9%
57.0%
P3
53.3%
55.1%
OT
38.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 5, 2013 | OT | 00:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |