Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 51.3% vs Ott 55.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 73.2%
Defensive zone
Ott 60.5%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 59.8%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Abdelkader
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Abdelkader
Ott
Last 10: Abdelkader 4-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Abdelkader
Ott
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Abdelkader
Ott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Abdelkader
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,126)
57.2% (2,802)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
55.4% (567)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (174)
49.9% (853)
+1.8%
On even strength, Ott has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Abdelkader is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (917).
Abdelkader shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Ott
Home
54.5% (642)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
48.7% (735)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Abdelkader
Ott
P1
49.5%
56.7%
P2
51.9%
53.9%
P3
53.3%
55.7%
OT
38.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |