Justin Abdelkader vs Tim Connolly
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Abdelkader on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Abdelkader wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 52.4% vs Connolly 48.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 66.8%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 65.7%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 79.9%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Abdelkader
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Abdelkader
Connolly
Last 5: Abdelkader 4-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
2
0
Abdelkader
Connolly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
2
1
Abdelkader
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (393)
47.8% (605)
+5.9%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
51.2% (86)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
55.1% (89)
-11.6%
On power play, Abdelkader has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Abdelkader is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Abdelkader shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Connolly
Home
56.4% (218)
51.1% (358)
Away
49.6% (234)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Abdelkader
Connolly
P1
55.6%
48.7%
P2
50.7%
48.1%
P3
51.9%
50.4%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.9%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |