Justin Abdelkader vs Tim Connolly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Abdelkader on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 51.3% vs Connolly 47.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 74.0%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 70.9%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 80.6%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Abdelkader
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Abdelkader
Connolly
Last 6: Abdelkader 5-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
3
0
Abdelkader
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
2
1
Abdelkader
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,126)
47.4% (1,307)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
50.2% (251)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (174)
41.9% (186)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Abdelkader has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Abdelkader is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Abdelkader shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Connolly
Home
54.5% (642)
48.5% (870)
Away
48.7% (735)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Abdelkader
Connolly
P1
49.5%
47.4%
P2
51.9%
47.7%
P3
53.3%
47.0%
OT
38.5%
37.8%
Final 5 min
56.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |