Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Danforth 49.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 52.6%
Defensive zone
Danforth 85.0%
Neutral zone
Danforth 67.7%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Benn
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Benn
Danforth
Last 8: Benn 2-6 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
2
Benn
Danforth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
2
Benn
Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
2
Benn
Danforth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
50.5% (546)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
50.0% (14)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
43.6% (101)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Benn shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Benn
Danforth
Home
57.3% (267)
51.1% (315)
Away
54.6% (262)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Benn
Danforth
P1
54.3%
49.5%
P2
55.7%
51.4%
P3
58.1%
46.6%
Final 5 min
59.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |