Justin Danforth vs Kevin Stenlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Danforth wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 70.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 80.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 77.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Danforth
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Danforth
Stenlund
Last 7: Danforth 5-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danforth
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
4
0
Danforth
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Danforth
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
58.6% (797)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
62.5% (24)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
60.5% (233)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Danforth is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Danforth shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Danforth
Stenlund
Home
51.1% (315)
58.6% (548)
Away
48.0% (346)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Danforth
Stenlund
P1
49.5%
60.2%
P2
51.4%
59.1%
P3
46.6%
58.3%
OT
100.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |