Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.8% vs Rossi 46.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 61.9%
Defensive zone
Danforth 76.9%
Neutral zone
Danforth 56.8%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Danforth
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Danforth
Rossi
Last 6: Danforth 4-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
3
1
Danforth
Rossi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Danforth
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
47.0% (2,140)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
47.3% (188)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
34.1% (44)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Danforth has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Danforth shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Danforth
Rossi
Home
51.4% (619)
47.8% (1,207)
Away
48.3% (642)
45.7% (1,165)
By Period
Danforth
Rossi
P1
49.1%
47.3%
P2
51.4%
44.8%
P3
48.3%
48.3%
OT
64.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |