Justin Danforth vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 48.8% vs Backlund 50.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 55.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.5%
Neutral zone
Danforth 52.2%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Danforth
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Danforth
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Danforth
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (281)
51.0% (1,205)
+0.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
59.3% (108)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (67)
42.3% (234)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Danforth shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Danforth
Backlund
Home
52.0% (196)
51.2% (782)
Away
44.1% (161)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Danforth
Backlund
P1
48.2%
51.5%
P2
52.8%
49.8%
P3
42.2%
49.9%
OT
83.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |