Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Danforth wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 52.5% vs Paul 50.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 64.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Danforth
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Danforth
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Danforth
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (162)
53.0% (644)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
37.5% (24)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
42.9% (177)
+9.0%
On power play, Danforth has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Danforth is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Danforth shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Danforth
Paul
Home
51.9% (81)
52.5% (516)
Away
55.1% (118)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Danforth
Paul
P1
49.2%
47.6%
P2
50.8%
48.4%
P3
62.9%
54.5%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |