Justin Danforth vs Pontus Holmberg
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 48.8%). Look for Holmberg on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Holmberg 49.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 54.4%
Defensive zone
Danforth 68.2%
Neutral zone
Danforth 52.5%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Danforth
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Danforth
Holmberg
Last 5: Danforth 3-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
1
2
Danforth
Holmberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
49.0% (245)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
48.6% (37)
-5.0%
On power play, Danforth has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Danforth shoots right. Holmberg is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Danforth
Holmberg
Home
51.1% (315)
50.3% (147)
Away
48.0% (346)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Danforth
Holmberg
P1
49.5%
59.2%
P2
51.4%
40.0%
P3
46.6%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |