Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 52.5% vs Thomas 49.9% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 70.2%
Defensive zone
Danforth 53.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Danforth
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Danforth
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Danforth
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (162)
49.0% (910)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
53.5% (142)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
53.3% (75)
-1.4%
On even strength, Danforth has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Danforth is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Danforth shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Danforth
Thomas
Home
51.9% (81)
47.3% (514)
Away
55.1% (118)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Danforth
Thomas
P1
49.2%
50.4%
P2
50.8%
47.5%
P3
62.9%
51.4%
OT
20.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |