Justin Danforth vs Steven Stamkos
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.9%). Danforth wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 84.7%
Defensive zone
Danforth 80.5%
Neutral zone
Danforth 50.8%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Danforth
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Danforth
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
49.3% (670)
+1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.7% (121)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
33.3% (3)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Danforth has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Danforth is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Danforth shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Danforth
Stamkos
Home
51.1% (315)
54.0% (400)
Away
48.0% (346)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Danforth
Stamkos
P1
49.5%
48.6%
P2
51.4%
54.5%
P3
46.6%
45.4%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |