Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 52.5% vs Thompson 41.2% (+13.5%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Danforth
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (162)
40.6% (801)
+13.7%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
44.7% (103)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
31.0% (71)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Danforth has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Danforth is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Danforth shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Danforth
Thompson
Home
51.9% (81)
43.2% (507)
Away
55.1% (118)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Danforth
Thompson
P1
49.2%
37.7%
P2
50.8%
43.4%
P3
62.9%
39.5%
OT
20.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.3%