Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.8% vs Stützle 45.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Danforth leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Danforth 50.6%
Defensive zone
Danforth 79.5%
Neutral zone
Danforth 66.1%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Danforth
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Danforth
Stützle
Last 10: Danforth 6-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
3
2
Danforth
Stützle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
3
1
Danforth
Stützle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Danforth
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
45.1% (2,292)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
55.4% (101)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
47.7% (86)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Danforth shoots right. Stützle is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (990).
Home / Away
Danforth
Stützle
Home
51.4% (619)
47.7% (1,282)
Away
48.3% (642)
43.4% (1,197)
By Period
Danforth
Stützle
P1
49.1%
47.1%
P2
51.4%
45.4%
P3
48.3%
44.1%
OT
64.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |