Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Dowling 48.7% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 80.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 90.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 84.1%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Drury
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Dowling
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Dowling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Dowling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Dowling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
48.7% (318)
+9.2%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
20.0% (5)
+47.4%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
50.0% (4)
+2.8%
On power play, Drury has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Dowling is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Drury
Dowling
Home
59.3% (364)
49.0% (145)
Away
56.3% (382)
47.8% (182)
By Period
Drury
Dowling
P1
53.9%
48.1%
P2
60.5%
49.1%
P3
58.3%
47.8%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jack Drury |