Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 52.1% vs Wallmark 51.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 55.7%
Defensive zone
Dowling 71.2%
Neutral zone
Dowling 58.5%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Dowling
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowling
Wallmark
Last 7: Dowling 4-3 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Dowling
Wallmark
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
2
1
Dowling
Wallmark
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
2
1
Dowling
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (67)
50.0% (54)
+5.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Dowling has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Dowling is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Dowling shoots left. Wallmark is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Dowling
Wallmark
Home
50.0% (16)
51.2% (41)
Away
56.6% (53)
58.8% (17)
By Period
Dowling
Wallmark
P1
45.0%
54.5%
P2
51.9%
61.1%
P3
68.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
76.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.1%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |