Justin Dowling vs Lucas Wallmark
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Wallmark 50.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 51.1%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 60.3%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 53.6%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Dowling
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowling
Wallmark
Last 7: Dowling 4-3 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Dowling
Wallmark
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
2
1
Dowling
Wallmark
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
2
1
Dowling
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
50.5% (1,852)
-1.1%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
56.3% (103)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
44.9% (216)
-11.6%
On power play, Wallmark has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Dowling shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Dowling
Wallmark
Home
48.2% (301)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
49.2% (392)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Dowling
Wallmark
P1
47.6%
51.4%
P2
50.4%
50.8%
P3
48.3%
48.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |