Justin Dowling vs Mathieu Perreault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Perreault 50.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 76.1%
Defensive zone
Dowling 52.6%
Neutral zone
Perreault 53.9%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Dowling
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dowling
Perreault
Last 6: Dowling 5-1 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Perreault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
2
0
Dowling
Perreault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
2
1
Dowling
Perreault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
50.7% (2,465)
-1.3%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
52.2% (454)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
44.0% (25)
-10.7%
On power play, Perreault has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Dowling shoots left. Perreault is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,810).
Home / Away
Dowling
Perreault
Home
48.2% (301)
52.1% (1,474)
Away
49.2% (392)
49.6% (1,482)
By Period
Dowling
Perreault
P1
47.6%
52.4%
P2
50.4%
48.6%
P3
48.3%
51.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |