Scouting Report
Mike Rupp holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Rupp 51.2% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Rupp 53.6%
Defensive zone
Dowling 54.9%
Neutral zone
Dowling 52.5%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Dowling
Rupp
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Rupp
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
52.4% (187)
-3.0%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
48.6% (35)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
33.3% (3)
+0.0%
On power play, Rupp has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rupp shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Dowling shoots left. Rupp is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Dowling
Rupp
Home
48.2% (301)
45.7% (127)
Away
49.2% (392)
59.6% (99)
By Period
Dowling
Rupp
P1
47.6%
44.8%
P2
50.4%
59.8%
P3
48.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Rupp
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.8%