Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.6%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Kadri 48.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 60.7%
Defensive zone
Dowling 58.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Dowling
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dowling
Kadri
Last 6: Dowling 3-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Dowling
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowling
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
48.2% (12,510)
+1.2%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
53.0% (1,892)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
41.0% (293)
-7.7%
On power play, Kadri has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Dowling shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Dowling
Kadri
Home
48.2% (301)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
49.2% (392)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Dowling
Kadri
P1
47.6%
49.2%
P2
50.4%
48.8%
P3
48.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |