Scouting Report
Oskar Bäck holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Bäck 50.5% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Dowling 62.0%
Defensive zone
Bäck 57.1%
Neutral zone
Dowling 52.1%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Dowling
Bäck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
54.8% (186)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
31.7% (41)
+1.6%
On even strength, Bäck has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Dowling shoots left. Bäck is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Dowling
Bäck
Home
48.2% (301)
52.4% (103)
Away
49.2% (392)
49.2% (124)
By Period
Dowling
Bäck
P1
47.6%
51.5%
P2
50.4%
50.0%
P3
48.3%
50.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.7%