Scouting Report
Oskar Bäck holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.7% vs Bäck 51.3% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Dowling 62.3%
Defensive zone
Bäck 59.0%
Neutral zone
Dowling 50.4%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Dowling
Bäck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (318)
55.9% (143)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
33.3% (30)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Dowling has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Dowling is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Dowling shoots left. Bäck is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Dowling
Bäck
Home
49.0% (145)
47.6% (82)
Away
47.8% (182)
56.0% (91)
By Period
Dowling
Bäck
P1
48.1%
54.3%
P2
49.1%
48.1%
P3
47.8%
56.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%