Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.7% vs Colton 45.2% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Colton 69.8%
Defensive zone
Dowling 61.0%
Neutral zone
Dowling 50.0%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Dowling
Colton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (318)
41.3% (75)
+7.4%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
35.3% (17)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On power play, Colton has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Dowling is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Dowling shoots left. Colton is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Dowling
Colton
Home
49.0% (145)
42.9% (49)
Away
47.8% (182)
37.5% (48)
By Period
Dowling
Colton
P1
48.1%
48.9%
P2
49.1%
33.3%
P3
47.8%
31.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
40.2%