Justin Dowling vs Tomas Nosek

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tomas Nosek holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowling 49.5% vs Nosek 46.9% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone Dowling 54.2%
Defensive zone Nosek 54.0%
Neutral zone Nosek 57.8%
Result Tomas Nosek favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Dowling Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowling
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (3)
48.5% (66)
-15.2%
On even strength, Nosek has a +15.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Dowling is 100.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
Dowling shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Dowling
Nosek
Home
100.0% (1)
44.0% (25)
Away
0.0% (2)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Dowling
Nosek
P1
33.3%
46.4%
Final 5 min
0.0%
41.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%
Nosek
46.0%
49.0%
43.6%